Ligue 1
Team strengths: publishedSeason projection: publishedMatch probabilities: publishedComputed on 27 September 2026
Table and projections
Computed on
27 September 2026
| Team | Pts | Title | Relegation | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 13 | 14% | 0% |
| 2 |  Olympique Lyonnais | 11 | 5% | 0% |
| 3 |  Paris | 11 | 1% | 0% |
| 4 |  LOSC Lille | 10 | 5% | 0% |
| 5 |  Rennes | 10 | 3% | 0% |
| 6 |  Paris Saint Germain | 8 | 70% | 0% |
| 7 |  Angers SCO | 7 | 0% | 27% |
| 8 |  Strasbourg | 7 | 0% | 1% |
| 9 |  Le Manspromoted | 6 | 0% | 32% |
| 10 |  Auxerre | 6 | 0% | 12% |
| 11 |  Brest | 5 | 0% | 6% |
| 12 |  Lorient | 5 | 0% | 13% |
| 13 |  Toulouse | 5 | 0% | 4% |
| 14 |  Nice | 5 | 0% | 3% |
| 15 |  Lens | 4 | 1% | 0% |
| 16 |  Troyespromoted | 4 | 0% | 60% |
| 17 |  Olympique Marseille | 3 | 1% | 0% |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 2 | 0% | 41% |
Upcoming fixtures
Full fixture list →Saturday 10 October · 17:15LOSC LilleLe Havre62%24%14%Saturday 10 October · 20:45Paris Saint GermainLe Mans84%11%6%Saturday 10 October · 20:45MonacoToulouse57%23%21%Saturday 10 October · 20:45LorientParis35%27%38%Saturday 10 October · 20:45BrestAngers SCO53%26%21%Sunday 11 October · 15:00NiceStrasbourg40%27%33%
LOSC LilleLe Havre62%24%14%Saturday 10 October · 20:45Paris Saint GermainLe Mans84%11%6%Saturday 10 October · 20:45MonacoToulouse57%23%21%Saturday 10 October · 20:45LorientParis35%27%38%Saturday 10 October · 20:45BrestAngers SCO53%26%21%Sunday 11 October · 15:00NiceStrasbourg40%27%33%Latest analysis
Power rankingLigue 1Marseille 17th and fifth: what the twelve clubs in this position went on to do
Twelve places separate Olympique de Marseille's position in the table from their estimated strength — the largest gap across the six leagues we follow. We replayed matchday 5 of 33 seasons to see where clubs in this situation end up.
SurvivalLigue 1Le Mans: in fourteen days, the model changed its mind
The promoted side's survival probability went from 43.6% to 68.9% in two weeks. Across 149 promotions recorded since 2020, that kind of swing is rare — and the numbers say exactly where it comes from.
Title raceLigue 1Who will win Ligue 1 in 2026-27?
PSG sit tenth in the table and win the title in 63% of simulated seasons. Monaco lead the table and win it in 16%. Here is why, and what 50,000 simulations say about every place in the league.