Italy

Serie A

Team strengths: publishedSeason projection: publishedMatch probabilities: publishedComputed on 27 September 2026

Analysis — Serie A

Short pieces built on the same computations as the tables. The figures in them are not copied out: they follow the model.

Title raceSerie A

Who will win Serie A in 2026-27?

Inter win the Scudetto in 57% of simulated seasons without leading the table. And the model rates Como Italy's third-strongest side — ahead of Juventus, Napoli and Milan combined.

20 September · 7 min