Super League
Team strengths: publishedSeason projection: not publishedMatch probabilities: not publishedComputed on 27 September 2026
The teams
On the left, what happened; on the right, what the model makes of it. Goals per match are observed averages; attack and defence are estimates, adjusted for the quality of the opponents faced.
Computed on
27 September 2026
| Team | P | Pts | GF | GA | GF/m | GA/m | Attack | Defence | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 25 | 27 | 7 | 3.00 | 0.78 | 1.15 | 0.97 | |
| 2 | 9 | 19 | 31 | 18 | 3.44 | 2.00 | 1.48 | 1.43 | |
| 3 | 9 | 19 | 23 | 14 | 2.56 | 1.56 | 1.13 | 1.08 | |
| 4 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 17 | 1.89 | 1.89 | 1.08 | 1.35 | |
| 5 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 19 | 1.78 | 2.11 | 1.09 | 1.25 | |
| 6 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 18 | 1.89 | 2.00 | 1.16 | 1.50 | |
| 7 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 20 | 1.56 | 2.22 | 0.90 | 1.49 | |
| 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 1.22 | 1.44 | 1.05 | 1.24 | |
| 9 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 1.67 | 2.56 | 1.19 | 1.45 | |
| 10 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 1.44 | 2.67 | 0.85 | 1.60 | |
| 11 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 2.00 | 2.33 | 1.11 | 1.58 | |
| 12 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 0.78 | 1.67 | 0.81 | 1.38 |
A promoted side that has played three matches does not carry three matches of information: its estimate is shrunk towards the average level of a promoted side, measured over 97 promotions observed since 2019.