Norway

Eliteserien

Team strengths: publishedSeason projection: publishedMatch probabilities: publishedComputed on 27 September 2026

The teams

On the left, what happened; on the right, what the model makes of it. Goals per match are observed averages; attack and defence are estimates, adjusted for the quality of the opponents faced.

Computed on
27 September 2026

	Team	P	Pts	GF	GA	GF/m	GA/m	Attack	Defence
1	Viking	21	50	54	20	2.57	0.95	1.68	0.86
2	Bodø / Glimt	21	50	53	19	2.52	0.90	1.78	0.79
3	Tromsø	21	38	40	29	1.90	1.38	1.21	1.09
4	Molde	21	36	44	32	2.10	1.52	1.33	1.17
5	Rosenborg	21	33	39	30	1.86	1.43	1.34	1.07
6	Lillestrømpromoted	21	32	28	29	1.33	1.38	0.92	1.09
7	Brann	21	29	39	32	1.86	1.52	1.23	1.11
8	Fredrikstad	21	28	25	32	1.19	1.52	0.85	1.02
9	Sarpsborg 08	21	25	24	29	1.14	1.38	0.93	1.13
10	KFUM	21	25	25	35	1.19	1.67	0.88	1.20
11	Sandefjord	21	23	21	27	1.00	1.29	0.92	0.99
12	Vålerenga	21	23	34	43	1.62	2.05	1.16	1.55
13	HamKam	21	23	29	44	1.38	2.10	0.94	1.42
14	Aalesundpromoted	21	21	33	46	1.57	2.19	1.09	1.55
15	Kristiansund	21	19	21	40	1.00	1.90	0.79	1.43
16	Startpromoted	21	16	22	44	1.05	2.10	0.80	1.44

A promoted side that has played three matches does not carry three matches of information: its estimate is shrunk towards the average level of a promoted side, measured over 97 promotions observed since 2019.