Bundesliga
Team strengths: publishedSeason projection: publishedMatch probabilities: publishedComputed on 27 September 2026
Table and projections
Computed on
27 September 2026
| Team | Pts | Title | Relegation | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 12 | 11% | 0% |
| 2 |  FC Bayern München | 10 | 87% | 0% |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 10 | 0% | 0% |
| 4 |  FC Augsburg | 7 | 0% | 5% |
| 5 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 7 | 2% | 0% |
| 6 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 7 | 0% | 1% |
| 7 |  Elversbergpromoted | 7 | 0% | 2% |
| 8 |  Werder Bremen | 7 | 0% | 8% |
| 9 |  RB Leipzig | 6 | 0% | 0% |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 0% | 2% |
| 11 |  Schalke 04promoted | 5 | 0% | 22% |
| 12 |  Paderbornpromoted | 4 | 0% | 28% |
| 13 |  FC Köln | 4 | 0% | 21% |
| 14 |  TSG Hoffenheim | 3 | 0% | 4% |
| 15 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 0% | 0% |
| 16 |  Hamburger SV | 3 | 0% | 46% |
| 17 |  FC Union Berlin | 1 | 0% | 36% |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0% | 24% |
Upcoming fixtures
Full fixture list →Saturday 10 October · 15:30PaderbornVfB Stuttgart27%29%44%Saturday 10 October · 15:30FC Union BerlinElversberg32%25%43%Saturday 10 October · 15:30FSV Mainz 05Bayer 04 Leverkusen29%26%45%Saturday 10 October · 15:30FC AugsburgFC Bayern München11%16%73%Saturday 10 October · 15:30TSG HoffenheimHamburger SV60%22%18%Saturday 10 October · 18:30RB LeipzigEintracht Frankfurt58%21%21%
PaderbornVfB Stuttgart27%29%44%Saturday 10 October · 15:30FC Union BerlinElversberg32%25%43%Saturday 10 October · 15:30FSV Mainz 05Bayer 04 Leverkusen29%26%45%Saturday 10 October · 15:30FC AugsburgFC Bayern München11%16%73%Saturday 10 October · 15:30TSG HoffenheimHamburger SV60%22%18%Saturday 10 October · 18:30RB LeipzigEintracht Frankfurt58%21%21%Latest analysis
Title raceBundesligaWho will win the Bundesliga in 2026-27?
Bayern are champions in 86% of simulated seasons, the highest title probability in Europe. Their attacking index is the strongest of our six leagues — and it is the attack, not the defence, that closes this league.
TitleBundesligaBayern are sixth, and champions in 85% of seasons
It is the widest gap across the six leagues we cover: two matchdays adrift in the table, and the highest title probability in Europe.