Ekstraklasa
Team strengths: publishedSeason projection: publishedMatch probabilities: publishedComputed on 27 September 2026
The teams
On the left, what happened; on the right, what the model makes of it. Goals per match are observed averages; attack and defence are estimates, adjusted for the quality of the opponents faced.
Computed on
27 September 2026
| Team | P | Pts | GF | GA | GF/m | GA/m | Attack | Defence | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Górnik Zabrze | 9 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 1.78 | 0.89 | 1.07 | 0.99 |
| 2 |  Lech Poznań | 9 | 20 | 17 | 7 | 1.89 | 0.78 | 1.31 | 0.89 |
| 3 |  Legia Warszawa | 9 | 19 | 19 | 8 | 2.11 | 0.89 | 1.19 | 0.95 |
| 4 |  Wisła Krakówpromoted | 9 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 1.89 | 1.33 | 1.01 | 1.19 |
| 5 |  Pogoń Szczecin | 9 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.19 | 0.97 |
| 6 |  Korona Kielce | 9 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 1.33 | 1.11 | 0.92 | 1.03 |
| 7 |  Zagłębie Lubin | 9 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 1.22 | 1.11 | 0.96 | 1.09 |
| 8 |  Katowice | 9 | 13 | 16 | 13 | 1.78 | 1.44 | 1.13 | 1.09 |
| 9 |  Piast Gliwice | 9 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 1.78 | 1.67 | 0.96 | 0.95 |
| 10 |  Jagiellonia Białystok | 9 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 1.33 | 1.44 | 1.21 | 1.10 |
| 11 |  Wisła Płock | 9 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 1.00 | 1.33 | 0.92 | 1.07 |
| 12 |  Widzew Lodz | 9 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 1.44 | 1.44 | 0.96 | 1.09 |
| 13 |  Cracovia Kraków | 9 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 1.00 | 1.56 | 1.00 | 1.05 |
| 14 |  Radomiak Radom | 9 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 0.78 | 2.22 | 1.00 | 1.23 |
| 15 |  Śląsk Wrocławpromoted | 9 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 1.22 | 1.67 | 0.98 | 1.11 |
| 16 |  Wieczysta Krakówpromoted | 9 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 1.22 | 1.89 | 0.90 | 1.38 |
| 17 |  Motor Lublin | 9 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 1.00 | 1.67 | 1.04 | 1.25 |
| 18 |  Raków Częstochowa | 9 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 1.33 | 2.33 | 1.20 | 0.91 |
A promoted side that has played three matches does not carry three matches of information: its estimate is shrunk towards the average level of a promoted side, measured over 97 promotions observed since 2019.