Tuesday 13 October · 18:45
Sabah – Slavia Praha
Sabah
th · attack 1.07 · defence 1.45
Slavia Praha
th · attack 1.23 · defence 1.07
Our model makes Slavia Praha favourites for Sabah – Slavia Praha, at 46%. Kick-off 13 October 2026, 18:45.
Across the full score distribution, Sabah win 32% of the time, the draw comes up 22% and Slavia Praha win 46%. The single most likely scoreline is 1–1, in 9.9% of simulations.
We expect 1.46 goals for Sabah and 1.78 for Slavia Praha, which puts the game above 2.5 goals 63% of the time and both teams scoring 63%.
Every figure on this page is read off the same score matrix, so they cannot contradict one another. They come from a Dixon-Coles model recomputed after every matchday, and they take no account of announced line-ups.
Expected goals: 1.46 for Sabah, 1.78 for Slavia Praha.
Goals in the match
Most likely scorelines
All scorelines
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Sabah wins; above it, Slavia Praha wins.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Sabah goals in rows, Slavia Praha goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
Frequently asked questions
Who are the favourites in Sabah v Slavia Praha?
Slavia Praha, at 46%. The full split is Sabah 32%, draw 22%, Slavia Praha 46%.
What is the most likely score in Sabah v Slavia Praha?
1–1, which comes up in 9.9% of simulations. No single scoreline is ever very likely: the distribution is spread across many results, which is why the full matrix matters more than the top line.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sabah v Slavia Praha?
The model puts the game above 2.5 goals 63% of the time, and above 1.5 goals 83% of the time. Expected goals are 1.46 for Sabah and 1.78 for Slavia Praha.
Will both teams score in Sabah v Slavia Praha?
Both teams score in 63% of simulations. Sabah keep a clean sheet or Slavia Praha fail to score in the remaining 37%.
How are these probabilities calculated?
A Dixon-Coles model estimates an attacking and a defensive strength for every club from past results, with time decay so recent matches weigh more. Those strengths give the expected goals for each side, from which the full score matrix and every figure on this page are derived. It is recomputed after every matchday and does not read line-ups, injuries or transfers.