Wednesday 14 October · 21:00
Slovan Bratislava – VfB Stuttgart
Slovan Bratislava
th · attack 0.86 · defence 1.56
VfB Stuttgart
15th · attack 1.39 · defence 1.14
Our model makes VfB Stuttgart favourites for Slovan Bratislava – VfB Stuttgart, at 75%. Kick-off 14 October 2026, 21:00.
Across the full score distribution, Slovan Bratislava win 11% of the time, the draw comes up 14% and VfB Stuttgart win 75%. The single most likely scoreline is 0–2, in 9.1% of simulations.
We expect 0.98 goals for Slovan Bratislava and 2.74 for VfB Stuttgart, which puts the game above 2.5 goals 72% of the time and both teams scoring 58%.
Every figure on this page is read off the same score matrix, so they cannot contradict one another. They come from a Dixon-Coles model recomputed after every matchday, and they take no account of announced line-ups.
Expected goals: 0.98 for Slovan Bratislava, 2.74 for VfB Stuttgart.
Goals in the match
Most likely scorelines
All scorelines
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Slovan Bratislava wins; above it, VfB Stuttgart wins.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 4 | |||||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Slovan Bratislava goals in rows, VfB Stuttgart goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
Frequently asked questions
Who are the favourites in Slovan Bratislava v VfB Stuttgart?
VfB Stuttgart, at 75%. The full split is Slovan Bratislava 11%, draw 14%, VfB Stuttgart 75%.
What is the most likely score in Slovan Bratislava v VfB Stuttgart?
0–2, which comes up in 9.1% of simulations. No single scoreline is ever very likely: the distribution is spread across many results, which is why the full matrix matters more than the top line.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Slovan Bratislava v VfB Stuttgart?
The model puts the game above 2.5 goals 72% of the time, and above 1.5 goals 88% of the time. Expected goals are 0.98 for Slovan Bratislava and 2.74 for VfB Stuttgart.
Will both teams score in Slovan Bratislava v VfB Stuttgart?
Both teams score in 58% of simulations. Slovan Bratislava keep a clean sheet or VfB Stuttgart fail to score in the remaining 42%.
How are these probabilities calculated?
A Dixon-Coles model estimates an attacking and a defensive strength for every club from past results, with time decay so recent matches weigh more. Those strengths give the expected goals for each side, from which the full score matrix and every figure on this page are derived. It is recomputed after every matchday and does not read line-ups, injuries or transfers.