Saturday 10 October · 18:15
La Louvière – Club Brugge
La Louvière
14th · attack 0.80 · defence 1.27
Club Brugge
3rd · attack 1.80 · defence 0.80
Our model makes Club Brugge favourites for La Louvière – Club Brugge, at 70%. Kick-off 10 October 2026, 18:15.
Across the full score distribution, La Louvière win 11% of the time, the draw comes up 19% and Club Brugge win 70%. The single most likely scoreline is 0–2, in 11.8% of simulations.
We expect 0.81 goals for La Louvière and 2.28 for Club Brugge, which puts the game above 2.5 goals 60% of the time and both teams scoring 50%.
Every figure on this page is read off the same score matrix, so they cannot contradict one another. They come from a Dixon-Coles model recomputed after every matchday, and they take no account of announced line-ups.
Expected goals: 0.81 for La Louvière, 2.28 for Club Brugge.
Goals in the match
Most likely scorelines
All scorelines
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, La Louvière wins; above it, Club Brugge wins.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | |||||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
La Louvière goals in rows, Club Brugge goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
Frequently asked questions
Who are the favourites in La Louvière v Club Brugge?
Club Brugge, at 70%. The full split is La Louvière 11%, draw 19%, Club Brugge 70%.
What is the most likely score in La Louvière v Club Brugge?
0–2, which comes up in 11.8% of simulations. No single scoreline is ever very likely: the distribution is spread across many results, which is why the full matrix matters more than the top line.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in La Louvière v Club Brugge?
The model puts the game above 2.5 goals 60% of the time, and above 1.5 goals 82% of the time. Expected goals are 0.81 for La Louvière and 2.28 for Club Brugge.
Will both teams score in La Louvière v Club Brugge?
Both teams score in 50% of simulations. La Louvière keep a clean sheet or Club Brugge fail to score in the remaining 50%.
How are these probabilities calculated?
A Dixon-Coles model estimates an attacking and a defensive strength for every club from past results, with time decay so recent matches weigh more. Those strengths give the expected goals for each side, from which the full score matrix and every figure on this page are derived. It is recomputed after every matchday and does not read line-ups, injuries or transfers.
All these figures come from a single scoreline matrix, computed on Monday 21 September. They therefore cannot contradict one another: “over 2.5 goals” and “exact score” are two readings of the same object.