Süper Lig
Team strengths: publishedSeason projection: publishedMatch probabilities: publishedComputed on 27 September 2026
The teams
On the left, what happened; on the right, what the model makes of it. Goals per match are observed averages; attack and defence are estimates, adjusted for the quality of the opponents faced.
Computed on
27 September 2026
| Team | P | Pts | GF | GA | GF/m | GA/m | Attack | Defence | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Amed SKpromoted | 6 | 13 | 15 | 7 | 2.50 | 1.17 | 1.74 | 1.08 |
| 2 |  Galatasaray | 6 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 2.17 | 1.67 | 1.60 | 0.98 |
| 3 |  Beşiktaş | 6 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 2.33 | 1.17 | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| 4 |  Kocaelispor | 6 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1.17 | 0.67 | 0.72 | 0.75 |
| 5 |  Alanyaspor | 6 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 0.99 | 0.93 |
| 6 |  Fenerbahçe | 6 | 10 | 16 | 6 | 2.67 | 1.00 | 1.75 | 0.96 |
| 7 |  Trabzonspor | 6 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 2.17 | 0.83 | 1.38 | 0.85 |
| 8 |  Kasımpaşa | 6 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 1.17 | 0.83 | 0.90 | 0.94 |
| 9 |  Rizespor | 6 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 1.17 | 1.00 | 1.04 | 1.11 |
| 10 |  Gaziantep F.K. | 6 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 0.93 | 1.16 |
| 11 |  Çorum FKpromoted | 6 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 2.17 | 2.00 | 1.46 | 1.41 |
| 12 |  İstanbul Başakşehir | 6 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 1.67 | 1.83 | 1.32 | 1.03 |
| 13 |  Gençlerbirliği | 6 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 0.83 | 2.17 | 0.80 | 1.23 |
| 14 |  Erzurumspor FKpromoted | 6 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 0.50 | 1.83 | 0.58 | 1.20 |
| 15 |  Konyaspor | 6 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 0.67 | 1.33 | 0.86 | 1.07 |
| 16 |  Samsunspor | 6 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 0.97 | 1.23 |
| 17 |  Göztepe | 6 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 1.83 | 2.50 | 1.11 | 1.28 |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 0.33 | 2.67 | 0.74 | 1.33 |
A promoted side that has played three matches does not carry three matches of information: its estimate is shrunk towards the average level of a promoted side, measured over 97 promotions observed since 2019.