Sweden

Allsvenskan

Team strengths: publishedSeason projection: publishedMatch probabilities: publishedComputed on 27 September 2026

The teams

On the left, what happened; on the right, what the model makes of it. Goals per match are observed averages; attack and defence are estimates, adjusted for the quality of the opponents faced.

Computed on
27 September 2026

	Team	P	Pts	GF	GA	GF/m	GA/m	Attack	Defence
1	Sirius	22	51	52	28	2.36	1.27	1.49	1.22
2	Hammarby	22	43	49	20	2.23	0.91	1.50	0.82
3	Djurgården	22	41	47	21	2.14	0.95	1.43	0.87
4	Elfsborg	22	37	31	22	1.41	1.00	1.19	1.06
5	Häcken	22	36	39	30	1.77	1.36	1.34	1.21
6	Västerås SKpromoted	22	35	34	35	1.55	1.59	1.08	1.18
7	Malmö FF	22	33	37	33	1.68	1.50	1.33	1.00
8	AIK	22	33	31	34	1.41	1.55	1.09	1.08
9	IFK Göteborg	22	32	31	41	1.41	1.86	1.04	1.20
10	GAIS	22	30	28	20	1.27	0.91	1.05	0.79
11	Brommapojkarna	22	27	30	36	1.36	1.64	1.07	1.32
12	Mjällby	22	22	27	38	1.23	1.73	1.12	1.00
13	Kalmarpromoted	22	19	21	36	0.95	1.64	0.84	1.28
14	Degerfors	22	19	19	34	0.86	1.55	0.78	1.29
15	Örgrytepromoted	22	15	25	49	1.14	2.23	0.93	1.69
16	Halmstad	22	14	16	40	0.73	1.82	0.66	1.33

A promoted side that has played three matches does not carry three matches of information: its estimate is shrunk towards the average level of a promoted side, measured over 97 promotions observed since 2019.